- Everything that begins to exist has a cause.
- The universe began to exist.
- Therefore, the universe has a cause.
Background Probability
Saturday, April 18, 2009
Contra Craig #1 - Forthrightly Understandable Cosmological Kalamity!
Friday, April 17, 2009
Contra Craig #2 - Universal fine-tuning
I’m going to try to be as charitable as possible on this argument, but it this is how it seems to go:
- The universe is such that it allows for the gradual evolution of intelligent life under certain circumstances
- It could have turned out any number of other ways, almost all of which would not have allowed for such life
- The best explanation for this particular universe is that an intelligent transcendent creator finely-tuned it for life
- Therefore, an intelligent transcendent creator of the cosmos exists. QED.
I will admit that such an argument has a certain intuitive appeal, but only the first of its three premises are well-established. The second premise has been cast into serious doubt by professional cosmologists such as Victor Stenger, but it should not take a Ph.D. in physics to see that the third premise is quite problematic in and of itself. To illustrate why, consider an argument about the conditions that prevail on our own planet:
1. Earth is such that it allowed for the gradual evolution of intelligent life under certain circumstances
2. It could have turned out any number of other ways, almost all of which would not have allowed for such life
3. The best explanation for this particular planet is that an intelligent transcendent creator finely-tuned it for life
4. Therefore, an intelligent transcendent creator of the Earth exists. QED.
When you get to premise three, you should wonder whether other planets exist which might be similarly situated to our own. In the age of Sagan, Asimov and Rodenberry this is not a particularly great stretch of the imagination. Only a few hundred years ago, though, this second argument would have seemed perfectly plausible to W.L. Craig’s philosophical and theological forebears, who forbade the possibility of multiple worlds (sometimes on pain of death) and generally preferred the view that the Earth was uniquely created for humankind.
Suppose we consider only two rival hypotheses (a) metaphysical naturalism and (b) classical theism, excluding other possibilities for the sake of convenience. Given that living being exist (who are just intelligent enough to have thoughtful debates about metaphysics) the crucial question here is which of these hypotheses best explains the fact that the universe allows for the natural evolution and sustainment of intelligent life.
It should be clear that if intelligent minds exist and metaphysical naturalism is true, it is absolutely necessary that the laws of nature are such as to allow for the natural evolution and sustainment of intelligent life. By contrast, if classical theism is true, then minds can exist as souls apart from bodies, and there is therefore no need to posit a natural world which allows for life to emerge and flourish naturally over vast stretches of time and space. If God wants intelligent beings, He may readily create as many angels and demons as he pleases, endow them with free will. He need never give a thought to the idea of mucking about with matter, much less minds made of meat. There simply is no need for such onerous fine-tuning, if theism is assumed to be true.
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Contra Craig #3 - Argument from objective moral values
Here is the argument from morality in laid out deductively:
- Objective moral values cannot exist other than in the mind of god
- Objective moral values really do exist (and we all know it)
- :. God exists. QED.
Sunday, April 12, 2009
Contra Craig #4 - Argument from Easter
William Lane Craig makes the same four or five arguments in almost every debate, and yet continually his opponents are usually addled, befuddled, confused, disoriented & exasperated. For the sake of argument, I propose that each one of Craig’s arguments may be easily met with a brief response, a single question which strikes at the root of the fallacy being propounded:
- Cosmological argument – “What can the word ‘cause’ be understood to mean when taken out of its usual context within time and space?”
- Teleological argument – “Given that life exists, wouldn’t fine-tuning be necessary in order for metaphysical naturalism to be true?”
- Moral argument – “Why should we believe that human moral intuitions indicate the existence of anything beyond human beings?”
- Historical Jesus argument – “Given the historicity of an empty tomb, would not a natural process of myth-making (incorporating messianic expectation, eschatology, mysticism and syncretism) easily account for all subsequent doctrinal developments?”
- Subjective experience argument – “Supposing subjective religious experience is indeed a trustworthy and valid means of theological insight, why has it lead to incredibly divergent sets of mutually exclusive religious doctrine, even among those who lay claim to the spiritual heritage of Abraham?
That said, assuming that there really was a tomb which was found empty, there is little reason to suppose that it was the right one. Assuming the gospels are correct on these matters, Jesus was not interred by his own disciples, but rather by a member of the Jewish Council, the whole of which "were looking for evidence against Jesus so that they could put him to death." Implausible as this might sound on its face, it nonetheless raises the question of how Jesus' female followers could have known the location of the tomb. Presumably, they covertly followed Joseph of Arimathea until he interred the body of their beloved rabbi, as they watched from a distance with tear-filled eyes, their minds clouded by shock and grief. Under such extenuating circumstances, they could have easily failed to find the correct tomb two days later, on Sunday morning.
And when the Sabbath was past, Mary and Salome brought sweet spices to anoint the body. Very early in the morning, they came among the sepulchers at the rising of the sun. They said to themselves, “Who shall roll away the stone from the sepulchre?” They came to a sepulchre by which a great stone had been laid, stooped and looked into the tomb, but found it empty within. The women came across a young gardener walking amongst the graves and said to him, “They have taken away our rabbi, and we do not know where they have laid him.” The young man said unto them, “He is not in this tomb, behold, the place where the body would be laid.”
Thursday, April 9, 2009
Into the lion's den (j/k)
Monday, April 6, 2009
Arguments for and against metaphysical naturalism
A fellow blogger recently wrote “If naturalism is true, there is no reason whatsoever to think that naturalism is true.” I would argue that if naturalism were true, we should have at least six distinct (albeit interrelated) reasons to believe that naturalism is true. Indeed, on naturalism we should reasonably expect to observe various things about the world that need not (or perhaps cannot) be true on the premise that the world was created the sort of transcendent being(s) we read about in various sacred writings :
1. Methodological naturalism (science) will work
2. Mind/body dualism will lack any empirical confirmation
3. Life itself ought to be explicable in terms of natural processes (e.g. evolution)
4. Human psychology should be explicable in similar terms (e.g. sociobiology)
5. Divine hiddenness – The existence of any particular deity ought not be obvious
6. Gratuitous suffering – Malthusian/Darwinian competition for scarce resources
Of these factors, the last two are the least secure and are limited in value to certain specific deities, namely, those that care about people and hope to have relationships with them. Deistic deities need not apply, though the gods of classical monotheism (e.g. Abrahamic, Zoroastrian, Bahá’í) may well fit the bill. The best case that I've read which puts forth these last two arguments was a book by Theodore M. Drange, the essence of which one may find condensed here.
As to the fourth argument, I'm unsure I've ever seen it made in defense of metaphysical naturalism, but it seems clear that if the predictions of sociobiology are well confirmed, such evidence should count very much against the idea that the human mind is something more than a natural adaptation used by by selfish genes in an attempt to maximize their long-term efficacy in yet another eukaryotic medium. For the sake of illustration, take an example from Richard Dawkins first book, in which he calculates the degree of relatedness between parents, siblings, cousins, etc. and predicts that human altruism should be more pronounced between more closely related individuals. Assuming this prediction has been strongly validated, it is evidence that human desires and behavior may be explained in naturalistic terms rather than by the invocation of mysterious concepts such as, say, a sin-stained soul.
The first three predictions of metaphysical naturalism are so strongly confirmed as to require no further support herein, but I'd be happy to addresses any challenges thereto in the combox. For now, I'm off to torment the kids.